Australia Votes: The Swing Vote — Where Will Undecided Voters Land on May 3?

With just a day to go before the May 3 elections, voting intentions remain divided — around 1 in 3 Australians say they will vote for Labor, while 1 in 4 support the Liberal Party. However, the most critical group to watch is the undecided voters, who still make up roughly 1 in 7 of the electorate.

While overall trust in political parties remains low across the board, a deeper look reveals an interesting dynamic: Liberal supporters report higher levels of trust in their party compared to Labor supporters. This higher trust suggests that Liberal voters are more likely to remain loyal and even advocate for their party, whereas Labor supporters may be more uncertain or wavering.

Overall trust in political parties

Through our research, a score or 0-4 in trust reflects distrust, 5-6 as neutral trust, 7-8 as trust, and 9-10 as high trust. This graph shows that across all, none are trusted by Australian voters.

Trust between Labor and Liberal supporters

Who is the most trusted by undecided voters?

Among undecided voters, there’s a clear disenchantment with the major parties. In fact, Independents are the most trusted group among them — signaling that this election’s outcome could hinge not just on party platforms, but on how much voters believe in who is delivering the message.

 Download our full Australia Elections report now.